— Alexandria Capital Management
Bull & Bear markets follow patterns. Learn to read them.
Research is what separates winner and losers. Winning takes time and requires consistency. There are no shortcuts.
Start with the evidence
How volatility clusters before a breakdown
Identifying capitulation without hindsight
Why most investors miss the first recovery leg
VIX spikes don't arrive without warning. This piece maps the compression-and-explosion cycle that precedes most major drawdowns.
Real-time capitulation signals are buried in volume and breadth data. We break down the indicators that held up across 2002, 2009, and 2020.
The sharpest gains follow the deepest fear. This guide documents the structural conditions that precede sustainable recoveries.
A curriculum built from stress events
Bull market behavior is a discipline, not a forecast.
We don't predict the next crash. We document what markets have done under duress and build frameworks that remain useful when conditions deteriorate.
Market cycles. Drawdown mechanics. Sector rotation under duress. Position sizing in illiquid conditions. Each topic is documented against historical data, not abstracted theory.
The deeper methodology — stress-tested across cycles — lives in the book. The free articles here are a genuine sample of that work.
The methodology emerged from annotated study of every major bull market since 1987. It is written to hold up under pressure — because that is the only condition that matters.
The charts, news & research is available on ThinkorSwim
Every framework taught here traces back to the authored work. Stress-tested, fully documented, and written for the investor who prepares before the drawdown arrives.